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A Trump Candidacy For 2024 Would Violate The 14th Amendment*
Will He Be Disqualified?
Rumor is that Trump will announce his candidacy presently, maybe as soon as November 14, but only after he credits himself for all Republican victories in the midterms and blames everyone else for their losses.
No one right of center wants the chaos of a Trump announcement before the midterms. Declare too soon after the midterms and he could screw up the GOP’s chances in a potential December 6 general election runoff between Republican challenger Herschel Walker and incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock as he was accused of doing in the Georgia senate runoffs in January 2021. (Georgia requires over 50% of the vote, and three candidates remain.) Declare too late and Republican challengers such as Governors Glenn Younkin (R-VA) and Ron DeSantis (R-FL) could enter the fray.
Robert Costa thinks others will be hesitant to want a “messy fight with him where he plays by no rules.” One Trump adviser asked, “do you really believe he’d endorse anybody at the convention if he loses?” Maggie Haberman tweeted in response:
“This is what Barr recently referred to as ‘extortion’ — the idea that Trump will hold the party hostage if anyone challenges him. He did successfully in 2016 too by dangling the threat of an independent candidacy.”